Historical Review of Draft Results
Results by Round when Player was Drafted
Please reserve comment for a future post wherein I will request commentary on the review as a whole.
Two factors are important when evaluating a teams drafting history in terms of the Draft Round in which the draftee was picked. Those factors are: 1) the quality of player and 2) which round they were drafted in. Players drafted in the 1st round should become 'stars' while players drafted in the 9th round are true longshots.
i.e. a 'star' player drafted in the 5th round is worth more than if that same 'star' player was drafted in the 1st round.
This also affects the negative scores of unranked players drafted early; let's face it - screwing up a 2nd round pick, on which the organization has spent considerable scouting resources, is worse than screwing up a 12th round throw-away pick.
Ex: An additional modifier of -60 was added to all unranked players (total is -90 in the 1st round) and then added back at 10/round until the total modifier was +/- 0 (the 7th round).
The modifiers allowed for the actual results of each draft round to be measured against the reasonable expectation of each round. Thus, drafting Enstrom and Exelby in the 8th round results in that round generating a positive grade for the organization.
The following table assigns a grade to each draft round:
The analysis by ROUND serves to hi-light two other problems the Atlanta Thrashers have had: a) when only the 1st round picks are covering the bet then they ALL have to be star caliber players and b) expansion teams don't have the luxury of having years worth of slowly developing journeyman caliber prospect/players making their way onto the roster.
Think about those two points for a second.
On the first, it doesn't require a huge leap of faith to see where the pressure, for the 1st round picks to develop into 'star' players as quickly as possible, is one of the reasons why Coburn will spend the next 15 years in a Flyers uniform and not that of the Thrashers.
On the second, the lack of homegrown roleplayers is why players like Holik and White get contracts at all.
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Introduction
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Draft Results Summation
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Yrs 1999 to 2003
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Yrs 2004 to 2008
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Draft Results By Year
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Draft Results By Round
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Draft Results By Pick
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Draft Results By Age
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Draft Results By Position
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Draft Results By League
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Draft Results By Country of Birth
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Player Grading System
Atlanta Thrashers 2008 HRDR - Graded Players Summary
Have a great evening everyone.