Historical Review of Draft Results
Results by Development League when Drafted
Please reserve comment for a future post wherein I will request commentary on the review as a whole.
At issue here is the ability to isolate the players initial development league as a factor in evaluating the ability of an organization to draft players. To do that it is important to modify the player-grade scores such that a single 'Hall of Fame' player does not skew the results of a single 'league' category entirely. Since all leagues will be treated as equal, for purposes of drafting, no other modifications to the grading scores are required.
The grading scores are organized and summarized in the table below. Please remember that the league listed by the player is the league from which they were drafted. That player may have developed in several leagues over the course of their junior career but when they were drafted they belonged to a single team or league and that is what is listed (and therefore part of this study).
This is a very interesting set of data. Even after the standard analysis is completed there is a lot left to interpret. Example: the OHL and WHL have similar draft numbers (57 vs. 54) and percentiles (25 vs. 26) but very different scores (300 vs. 180). Look now at the player grades - the players drafted out of the OHL had better careers. Remember - player grade scores were flattened out - not disregarded.
Question: Why the infatuation with U.S. Highschools? Answer: Good question.
To be honest some of those highschools/prepschools could possibly be reclassified as colleges or universities so my numbers may be off, however, I find it amazing that this organization thought there was, on a regular basis, better potential in U.S. highschools than in the QMJHL (for instance).
It would be understandable if the team was taking a flyer every now and then but the number of players, and subsequent busts, drafted out of the US highschool systems is too large to consider anything but systematic.
Question: Are we wasting resources in Europe? Answer: Yes. And No.
Yes: of 80 some draft picks, only 16% of them (13 of 80) have had NHL careers of note. No: the vast majority of those success stories have come out of Finland and the Czech Republic (and the old Czechoslovakia).
I comment on this more in the next link (a review by Country of Origin) but suffice to say that not ALL of the resources we are using to scout for talent in Europe are being wasted.
The abbreviations used above are as follows:
The USHS category also contains those players drafted out of the USHL program.
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Introduction
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Draft Results Summation
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Yrs 1979 to 1983
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Yrs 1984 to 1988
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Yrs 1989 to 1993
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Yrs 1994 to 1998
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Yrs 1999 to 2003
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Yrs 2004 to 2007
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Draft Results By Year
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Draft Results By Pick
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Draft Results By Round
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Draft Results By Age
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Draft Results By Position
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Draft Results By League
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Draft Results By Country of Birth
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Player Grading System
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Graded Players Summary
Edmonton Oilers 2007 HRDR - Data Set Changes
Have a great evening everyone.